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Glossary term

Statistical Significance

Evidence that an observed result is unlikely to be random noise.

Statistical significance asks whether a result is strong enough, relative to its sample size and variability, that it is unlikely to be a coincidence. In investing, it helps separate a real edge from a lucky backtest.

Example: A strategy that wins in 8 months out of 10 is not enough evidence. A strategy tested across many years, markets, and regimes gives more confidence.

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